Tuesday, November 23, 2010

Tip of the Iceberg...

Austin area foreclosures top 15,600 in 2010

Foreclosure postings through the Dec. 7 auction are up 10 percent in the Austin area from a year ago, as stubborn unemployment and a slow-growing economy put financial strain on many homeowners.
Foreclosure Listing Service Inc. said 15,622 properties have been posted in Travis, Williamson, Hays and Bastrop counties this year. That’s the highest number since the Addison company began tracking Austin area postings in 2001.

Friday, November 19, 2010

Austin-area home sales headed for fourth annual drop

LOL Prices are not up. Are you kidding. The averages may be up but that's because more expensive homes have started cutting prices and are pulling the averages up. The reason homes aren't selling is that sellers, on the advice of their agents, are pricing above the market. Come on, 3 months to sell? You got the wrong price on it folks. It'll sell in 2 weeks if you price it right.
- Mr. Bubble

Tuesday, July 20, 2010

Homes sales decline in June; listings hit record level

My guess is that the median price went up because more expensive properties sold relative to small ones. Sure would hate to be sellin right now...

-Mr. Bubble

Homes sales decline in June; listings hit record level | Austin American Statesman

Homes sales fell 4 percent last month compared with June 2009’s volume, but the median sales price was up 4 percent, to $208,750, the Austin Board of Realtors reported today.
However, the number of homes on the market swelled to a record 11,749, a 16 percent increase from a year ago, while the number of sales in the closings pipeline fell by 23 percent, to 1,610.


Read the full story by clicking on the title...

Monday, July 19, 2010

Real Listing of Genius Award this Month...

This home in Barton Creek was listed by a realtor for $1 mil 2 years ago. This was back when Zillow would publish Zestimates in Austin. Zillow valued it at 700k or so.

After at least 2 years on the market, it is now listed at 619k. (I still don't think it will sell at that price but it's a lot closer.) So tell me again why Zillow is no good? Tell me again why you realtors don't release sales data to us, the consumers? This seller would have been better off with an algorithm.





2305 Barton Creek Blvd, Austin, TX 78735 MLS# 5152235 - Zillow

-Mr. Bubble

Thursday, July 15, 2010

ARED July 15 2010 Video Blog – Pending home sales crash

Even local real estate cheerleader and KLBJ Radio guru John Mcclellan admits pending sales have crashed. Not sure why he thinks lower prices are "bad". They're great for buyers who are looking at buying MUCH more home!

-Mr. Bubble

ARED July 15 2010 Video Blog – Pending home sales crash!

Above is a link to John's blog...

Austin foreclosures up from '09, steady since May - Austin Business Journal

The title should be "Austin Foreclosures Up 98%!". What spin.

-Mr. Bubble

Austin foreclosures up from '09, steady since May - Austin Business Journal

While home foreclosures have jumped dramatically from a year ago in Austin, the numbers remained steady in recent months with about 1,000 homes foreclosed on or in danger of such in June, according to a new report from RealtyTrac Inc.

June statistics

One in every 655 houses foreclosed or was in danger of foreclosing in June, a 98 percent increase from the same month in 2009. While the figure is alarming, it’s only up 6 percent from May. Most real estate experts said foreclosures would start hitting the mark in both commercial and residential real estate starting in late 2009 through most of 2010, and have stressed that overall it’s more important to rely on month-to-month figures because it more accurately reflects market stability.

Click the title for the full story...

Wednesday, July 14, 2010

Spanish Oaks posted for foreclosure | The Real Deal

I called these jerks to see about viewing property. They sales guy said they had nothing less than a million and that I wasn't qualified to be there since I had only 800k to spend. What an idiot.

-Mr. Bubble

Spanish Oaks posted for foreclosure | The Real Deal- Austin American Statesman

In another high-profile foreclosure, Comerica Bank late Tuesday posted Spanish Oaks, a 911-acre luxury residential and golf course project in Bee Cave, for the Aug. 3 foreclosure auction.

Spanish Oaks’ owners had been talks for some time with Comerica to modify the terms of a $32 million loan to avoid foreclosure. The original loan was $34.4 million, according to the foreclosure filing. The loan negotiations involved the golf course, unsold lots and undeveloped land.

Click on the title for more

Saturday, May 22, 2010

Morgage Applications Crash!

Uh oh!

-Mr. Bubble

Housing Industry Gets Wake Up Call After Purchase Apps Fall To 13 Year Low

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 14, 2010.

Michael Fratantoni, MBA's Vice President of Research and Economics summed up the survey:



"Purchase applications plummeted 27 percent last week and have declined almost 20 percent over the past month, despite relatively low interest rates. The data continue to suggest that the tax credit pulled sales into April at the expense of the remainder of the spring buying season. In fact, this drop occurred even as rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages continued to fall, and at 4.83 percent are at their lowest level since November 2009....However, refinance borrowers did react to these lower rates, with refi applications up almost 15 percent, hitting their highest level in nine weeks."

More here...

Thanks to realtor Paul Smith for this info. Paul is an excellent buyer's agent.

Monday, May 17, 2010

Skyrocketing Foreclosures in Austin!




The number of home foreclosures in the Austin area increased 45 percent in April compared to one year ago, according to RealtyTrac Inc., a group that monitors foreclosed properties in the United States.

Link to Article....

Saturday, April 10, 2010

Duh! Finally the Government Sees the Bubble

Hmm. I didn't know that your property values keep rising due the the ten percent maximum annual increase rule even when your property didn't actually rise in that year. That helps explain why people thought property hadn't really fallen in Austin in 2008-9. Much of the data was driven by the TCAD values due to the fact that nobody release the MLS data.

- Mr. Bubble



Travis property values face first drop since 2003

5.3 percent projected decline would mean a $6.5 billion hit to tax rolls.

By Laylan Copelin and Shonda Novak
AMERICAN-STATESMAN STAFF

Published: 11:44 p.m. Friday, April 9, 2010
The recession that wiped out thousands of jobs in Central Texas also erased $6.5 billion from the market value of Travis County properties.
The 5.3 percent drop in values from 2009 was the first decline since 2003, according to preliminary figures from the Travis Central Appraisal District.

more...

Friday, April 9, 2010

Beware of Pocket Listings

Pocket listings are quite common in Austin.  I think many sellers are denied maximum market prices for these deals and we are all denied the price information the sale contains. Do yourself a favor, list in the MLS and require your agent to present you with all offers.

- Mr. Bubble

 

Happens Every Day

Reno attorney and real estate investor William Thornton has filed a complaint with the Nevada Real Estate Division against local real estate figures Karen Greathouse and Nancy Fennell of Dickson Realty.

March Austin List Prices from Zillow

Hmm? Interesting trend in Austin list prices... recovery?

- Mr. Bubble


Median List Price
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Median List Price

Saturday, March 27, 2010

Austin Feb Home Prices Down 3% over Feb 2009

 Sure sounds different than what the realtors say doesn't it?

- Mr. Bubble

  Sales Change from
Last Year

Median
Price
Change from
Last Year
Months'
Inventory
Austin 1,276 up 7% $182,000 down 3% 6.2
Dallas 2,707 down 9% $149,200 up 1%  6.1
Fort Bend 510 down 7% $188,700 up 8%  4.8
Fort Worth 538 up 5% $106,000 down 3% 6.5
Houston 3,615 down 4% $146,600 up 6% 6.6
Longview-Marshall 116 down 12% $120,000 up 1% 8.9
Odessa 67 up 26% $123,100 down 5% 5.8
San Antonio 1,239 up 7%  $140,700 down 1% 7.8
Temple-Belton 94 down 10%  $110,800 down 11% 6.7
Victoria 61 up 33% $109,200 down 23%  6.6
Texas 13,064 down 2% $141,100 up 2% 6.9

Attention Barton Creek, Westlake, Tarrytown, Downtown Sellers

The article speaks for itself but there's one thing they miss. The writers say that now is the best time to buy because rates are rising. Then they give this example of how your payment goes up as rates rise. Well, duh, don't you think prices will fall as these rates rise?

- Mr. Bubble

Castles for the Common Man - WSJ.com

Time to Storm the Castle?

At the High End, a Bit More Money Yields Lots More Home; 14 Acres and an Orchard

Daniel Horowitz is ready to bargain.
The 55-year-old trial lawyer is trying to sell a four-bedroom villa with marble imported from Italy, a winery and a fruit orchard on 14 acres in Lafayette, Calif. Mr. Horowitz already chopped the price to $3.2 million from $4 million, the amount he estimates having spent on the land and construction. "We thought it would sell right away," he says. But it hasn't, and he is willing to consider lower offers, he says.

Mansions for Sale

Three years into the housing bust, steep discounts are emerging in the market for high-end homes, which had been the real-estate industry's last redoubt until now. Despite the budding economic recovery, demand for pricey properties is falling as potential buyers struggle to come up with money for big down payments and find it difficult to qualify for large mortgages. With buyers dropping out and homes languishing on the market, sellers are beginning to capitulate, cutting prices to move their properties.


Posted using ShareThis

Thursday, March 25, 2010

What Spin!

 All of you real estate cheerleaders should take note of this. Unemployment in Austin is RISING, rates are going up, foreclosures are increasing, and federal homeowner subsidies are ending.

- Mr. Bubble

Austin job losses moderate in February | Statesman Business Blog

The Austin area lost jobs at a 0.6 percent annual rate in February, compared to a 1.3 percent year-over-year drop in January.

The Texas Workforce Commission said the area’s unemployment rate was 7.2 percent, down from 7.6 percent in January but up from 6.6 percent a year earlier.

The steepest losses continue to be in the construction and manufacturing sectors, which combined lost 5,500 jobs between February 2009 and last month.
But the leisure and hospitality sector — such as hotels and restaurants — gained 5,000 jobs over the same period.

Statewide, the Workforce Commission said the unemployment rate was 8.2 percent last month, the level it has held at for four months in a row.


Posted using ShareThis

Housing market's recovery appears at risk- Statesman

Glad to see the Statesman is taking note.

-Mr. Bubble

Housing market's recovery appears at risk

Posted using ShareThis

Tuesday, March 16, 2010

More Bad News Via One of Austin's Pros

Here KLBJ real estate radio host John McClellan informs about another ominous sign for real estate sellers in 2010. (Great for buyers though!)

- Mr. Bubble

USDA in Jeopardy!

by John McClellan on March 16, 2010
It has recently been announced that the USDA loan program will be out of money by the end of April 2010. In any typical year the USDA loan program has plenty of funds to make loans through the end of the year. Over the last few years as other “0″ down loan programs have disappeared, USDA has stepped up to fill the void and provide affordable “0″ down loans for first time homebuyers across the nation. This increased demand for USDA loans has led to a shortfall the last two years in funds needed to keep this program solvent. Last year the stimulus money was used to bridge the funding gap and business went along as usual. This year however there is no stimulus money left to bridge the funding gap and it looks like that sometime in April we will be out of funds and USDA will stop issuing commitments until their normal refunding takes place (sometime in the late fall).

More here...

Wednesday, March 10, 2010

A Sober Realtor- Bill Morris

I always like to point out to realtors that they represent both buyers and sellers. They seem to act like they only represent sellers because they are loath to discuss the market down-cycle realistically...hence this blog. Anyway, for buyers, Austin's struggling market is great news and I want you to call honest realtors have have them make offers for you!

I came across Bill's blog post on building permits today and I thought I'd share it with you. He tells it like it is.

- Mr. Bubble

Austin Metro Building Permits

Much of what I have written about the “state of the market” in and around Austin has focused on resale homes.  New construction is obviously an important part of the market, and it’s a great barometer for confidence in the local economy, job growth, investment opportunities, etc.
This chart summarizes residential building permits issued from January 2000 to January 2010:
Austin Area Building Permits

Click the article title to link to Bill's blog...